0x4a2be7a7e6e3b41dc2de00706b4c09660ca9af20
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$91,156
Active Capital
$43,400
Active Markets
193
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026? | NO | $115.5 | 0.11 | 0.18 | +$8.84 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | NO | $5,999.98 | 0.25 | — | $-1,482.58 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | YES | $1,000 | 0.39 | — | $-390 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026? | YES | $999.92 | 0.23 | — | $-229.98 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES | $9,999.98 | 0.13 | 0.09 | $-449.99 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | NO | $3,127.6 | 0.30 | 0.30 | +$15.64 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | NO | $25,000 | 0.08 | — | $-1,967.03 |
| Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | YES | $3,000.37 | 0.20 | — | $-604.94 |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? | YES | $2,000 | 0.14 | — | $-290 |
| Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? | NO | $599.99 | 0.21 | — | $-125.95 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | YES | $2,000 | 0.07 | — | $-132 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | YES | $2,000 | 0.12 | — | $-250 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | NO | $1,599.99 | 0.25 | 0.55 | +$482.27 |
| Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | NO | $4,999.94 | 0.24 | — | $-1,179.97 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | NO | $5,000.32 | 0.34 | — | $-1,700.81 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES | $50,000.02 | 0.17 | — | $-8,457.35 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22? | NO | $4,000.3 | 0.33 | — | $-1,336.13 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | YES | $24,999.96 | 0.02 | — | $-547.22 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | YES | $2,999.99 | 0.06 | 0.07 | +$30 |
| Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | YES | $799.98 | 0.22 | 0.03 | $-149.2 |