0x4a2be7a7e6e3b41dc2de00706b4c09660ca9af20
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$93,335
Active Capital
$46,565
Active Markets
278
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026? | NO | $999.97 | 0.07 | — | $-69.82 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | NO | $5,999.98 | 0.25 | — | $-1,482.58 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | NO | $2,000 | 0.71 | 0.82 | +$230 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | NO | $3,999.97 | 0.30 | — | $-1,199.99 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | NO | $25,000 | 0.08 | — | $-1,967.03 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | NO | $11,999.99 | 0.20 | — | $-2,349.66 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | YES | $1,999.99 | 0.10 | — | $-205.96 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | NO | $4,999.93 | 0.41 | — | $-2,049.97 |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? | YES | $2,000 | 0.14 | — | $-290 |
| Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? | NO | $599.99 | 0.21 | — | $-125.95 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | YES | $2,000 | 0.07 | — | $-132 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? | YES | $1,000.08 | 0.09 | — | $-90.01 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | NO | $1,599.99 | 0.25 | 0.73 | +$778.26 |
| Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | NO | $4,999.94 | 0.24 | — | $-1,179.97 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? | NO | $4,500 | 0.11 | — | $-500 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | NO | $5,000.32 | 0.34 | — | $-1,700.81 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | YES | $800 | 0.63 | 0.53 | $-77.2 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES | $50,000.02 | 0.17 | — | $-8,457.35 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22? | NO | $4,000.3 | 0.33 | — | $-1,336.13 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | NO | $2,000.36 | 0.52 | 0.54 | +$33.29 |