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255 markets with smart money consensus (7+ wallets).
Market
Consensus
Wallets
Confidence
Trade
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
YES
58%
43
25
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→
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES
74%
35
26
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→
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
YES
82%
33
27
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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NO
78%
32
25
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
YES
75%
32
24
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→
New York Yankees vs. Athletics
NO
55%
31
17
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US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
YES
66%
29
19
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→
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies
YES
52%
29
15
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Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YES
64%
28
18
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Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES
54%
28
15
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Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES
78%
27
21
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Iran leadership change by December 31?
NO
74%
27
20
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
NO
52%
27
14
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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
YES
54%
26
14
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Netanyahu out by June 30?
NO
84%
25
21
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Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
YES
50%
24
12
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Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES
91%
23
21
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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES
74%
23
17
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Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
NO
70%
23
16
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Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
YES
61%
23
14
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US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
NO
57%
23
13
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→
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
NO
57%
23
13
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→
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
YES
52%
23
12
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→
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES
82%
22
18
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→
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
NO
77%
22
17
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