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156 markets with smart money consensus (7+ wallets).
Market
Consensus
Wallets
Confidence
Trade
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES
62%
53
33
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Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES
60%
42
25
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NO
74%
39
29
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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES
81%
36
29
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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NO
79%
29
23
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Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
NO
80%
25
20
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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
NO
76%
25
19
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Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YES
75%
24
18
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Iran leadership change by December 31?
NO
83%
23
19
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Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
NO
57%
23
13
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Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO
91%
22
20
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Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES
82%
22
18
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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES
77%
22
17
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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NO
68%
22
15
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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES
86%
21
18
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2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YES
81%
21
17
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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NO
90%
20
18
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES
75%
20
15
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Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YES
70%
20
14
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Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NO
70%
20
14
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Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
NO
89%
19
17
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Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES
89%
19
17
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US strike on Cuba by December 31?
NO
74%
19
14
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Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
NO
58%
19
11
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Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES
58%
19
11
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