0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$1,087,503
Active Capital
$119,128
Active Markets
44
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | YES | $823.92 | 0.01 | 0.01 | $-1.89 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | YES | $5,800 | 0.18 | 0.15 | $-174 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | YES | $600 | 0.74 | 0.45 | $-171.55 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | YES | $18,785.19 | 0.02 | 0.01 | $-124.3 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | YES | $17,305.93 | 0.48 | 0.49 | +$260.77 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | YES | $3,916.24 | 0.21 | 0.10 | $-420.55 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | YES | $15,425.65 | 0.46 | 0.65 | +$2,854.81 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | NO | $500 | 0.22 | 0.20 | $-7.5 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | YES | $3,163.95 | 0.05 | 0.02 | $-86.4 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | YES | $77,679.52 | 0.04 | 0.01 | $-2,066.9 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | YES | $19,377.17 | 0.28 | 0.22 | $-1,182.07 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day? | YES | $636.94 | 0.03 | — | $-20.38 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | NO | $1,400 | 0.27 | — | $-377.75 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | YES | $1,898.9 | 0.05 | 0.05 | $-0.95 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | NO | $9,600.01 | 0.11 | 0.41 | +$2,827.95 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | YES | $500 | 0.41 | 0.18 | $-112.5 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | YES | $5,368.5 | 0.01 | — | $-37.58 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day? | YES | $677.63 | 0.03 | — | $-18.97 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | NO | $267.61 | 0.61 | 0.72 | +$31.83 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | YES | $3,700 | 0.21 | 0.29 | +$314.5 |