0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
-$4,434,005
Active Capital
$2,883,341
Active Markets
47
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | NO | $32,614.64 | 0.89 | 0.91 | +$773.55 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | YES | $217,126.14 | 0.69 | 0.69 | $-1,648.64 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | YES | $66,453.88 | 0.84 | 0.85 | +$977.67 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | YES | $90,480.24 | 0.66 | 0.58 | $-6,703.77 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | NO | $75,676.14 | 0.72 | 0.82 | +$7,709.66 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | NO | $15,708.25 | 0.69 | 0.85 | +$2,535.37 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | NO | $101,519.86 | 0.40 | 0.67 | +$26,581.35 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | YES | $6,522 | 0.37 | 0.34 | $-228.27 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | NO | $31,531.77 | 0.60 | 0.76 | +$4,743.92 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | NO | $168,000.29 | 0.82 | 0.92 | +$15,358.42 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | YES | $66,900.19 | 0.09 | 0.07 | $-1,092.95 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | YES | $48,024.7 | 0.74 | 0.74 | +$476.89 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | NO | $153.44 | 0.37 | 0.43 | +$8.74 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | YES | $153,965.17 | 0.35 | 0.23 | $-19,765.59 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | NO | $244,984.65 | 0.43 | 0.43 | +$509.81 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | NO | $41.49 | 0.46 | 0.54 | +$3.32 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | NO | $4,137.29 | 0.83 | 0.85 | +$121.3 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | NO | $209,681.53 | 0.73 | 0.82 | +$20,789.71 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | NO | $317,094.87 | 0.53 | 0.65 | +$36,302.92 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | YES | $493.53 | 0.35 | 0.35 | +$2.47 |