0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
-$1,305
Active Capital
$247,695
Active Markets
21
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | YES | $68,576.55 | 0.89 | 1.00 | +$7,326.86 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | YES | $72,237.3 | 0.95 | 1.00 | +$3,109.09 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | YES | $188,290.44 | 0.02 | 0.02 | +$327.25 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | NO | $25,000 | 0.80 | 0.94 | +$3,625 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | YES | $2,858.44 | 0.47 | 0.93 | +$1,335.95 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | NO | $524.75 | 0.62 | 0.86 | +$124.31 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | YES | $2,814.84 | 0.15 | 0.32 | +$462.14 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | YES | $6,630.44 | 0.04 | 0.11 | +$474.08 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | YES | $11,275.62 | 0.16 | 0.14 | $-246.91 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | YES | $27,846.13 | 0.35 | 0.39 | +$1,016.38 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | YES | $784.81 | 0.28 | 0.36 | +$66.71 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | NO | $6.15 | 0.26 | 0.12 | $-0.89 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | YES | $5,513.61 | 0.03 | 0.05 | +$129.57 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | YES | $1.49 | 0.33 | 0.47 | +$0.21 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | NO | $46,115.5 | 0.72 | 0.92 | +$9,045.65 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | NO | $5,000 | 0.74 | 0.70 | $-235.5 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | YES | $49,999.82 | 0.04 | 0.04 | +$125 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | YES | $26,554.94 | 0.43 | 0.38 | $-1,429.53 |
| Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? | YES | $857.1 | 0.82 | 1.00 | +$152.13 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | NO | $4,999.96 | 0.71 | 0.78 | +$325 |