0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$539,543
Active Capital
$2,241
Active Markets
191
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8? | YES | $46.33 | 0.27 | — | $-12.55 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | YES | $10 | 0.42 | — | $-4.2 |
| Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | NO | $676.04 | 0.22 | — | $-147.39 |
| Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29? | NO | $714.12 | 0.20 | — | $-144.74 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5? | NO | $44.99 | 0.41 | — | $-18.45 |
| Epstein client list released in 2025? | YES | $3,284.81 | 0.04 | — | $-135.73 |
| Will Shayne say "Election" 3+ times during 60 Minutes? | NO | $174.57 | 0.19 | — | $-33.17 |
| Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November? | NO | $141.37 | 0.64 | — | $-90.85 |
| Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files? | NO | $61.8 | 0.84 | — | $-51.91 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | NO | $200.24 | 0.96 | 0.98 | +$3.5 |
| Will Player 21 win Beast Games: Season 2? | YES | $728.26 | 0.00 | — | $-3.6 |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 77+ times during the next White House press briefing? | NO | $300 | 0.25 | — | $-74.64 |
| Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? | YES | $1.24 | 0.41 | — | $-0.51 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | YES | $60,821.23 | 0.00 | — | $-120 |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | YES | $23,899.62 | 0.16 | — | $-3,734.15 |
| Lighter Airdrop before January 1? | NO | $321.11 | 0.15 | — | $-48.17 |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025? | YES | $663.22 | 0.04 | — | $-29.87 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | YES | $27,389.8 | 0.05 | — | $-1,387.92 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? | YES | $99.99 | 0.59 | — | $-58.99 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | YES | $6,047.31 | 0.01 | — | $-32.95 |