0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$432,812
Active Capital
$269,623
Active Markets
53
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | NO | $86.86 | 0.12 | 0.44 | +$27.43 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | NO | $15,838.91 | 0.63 | 0.73 | +$1,508.53 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | NO | $526.24 | 0.80 | 0.85 | +$23.84 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | NO | $2,999.99 | 0.68 | 0.98 | +$895.5 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | NO | $2.53 | 0.69 | 0.77 | +$0.19 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | NO | $4,589.47 | 0.49 | 0.28 | $-1,006.9 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | NO | $500 | 0.89 | 0.97 | +$42 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? | NO | $193.26 | 0.41 | 0.82 | +$79.24 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | NO | $436.26 | 0.82 | 0.96 | +$60.79 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | NO | $865.17 | 0.70 | 0.30 | $-352.56 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | YES | $7,322.31 | 0.63 | 0.70 | +$537.26 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | NO | $1,079.47 | 0.80 | 0.95 | +$165.16 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | NO | $1,079.07 | 0.82 | 0.85 | +$32.37 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | NO | $19,626.89 | 0.51 | 0.67 | +$3,088.64 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | NO | $6,873.03 | 0.72 | 0.90 | +$1,183.92 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | NO | $9,847.81 | 0.67 | 0.72 | +$541.63 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | YES | $9,380.33 | 0.09 | 0.00 | $-780.85 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | YES | $384.97 | 0.21 | 0.23 | +$6.07 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | NO | $13,020.79 | 0.72 | 0.84 | +$1,576.02 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | NO | $14,999.87 | 0.81 | 0.88 | +$925.45 |