0x9d736920e486176e7df7a76fa218f1ebd853216b
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
-$25,708
Active Capital
$171,661
Active Markets
133
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota? | YES | $50 | 0.06 | 0.02 | $-1.77 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30? | YES | $833.83 | 0.92 | 0.70 | $-184.05 |
| Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? | NO | $64.49 | 0.91 | 0.59 | $-20.38 |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 40 by April 30? | NO | $100 | 0.88 | 0.94 | +$6 |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30? | NO | $100 | 0.86 | 0.86 | +$0 |
| Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | NO | $1,525 | 0.95 | 0.96 | +$9.71 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | YES | $300 | 0.50 | 0.54 | +$12 |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026? | NO | $201.95 | 0.80 | 0.92 | +$24.83 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | YES | $947.51 | 0.58 | 0.82 | +$231.81 |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? | NO | $506 | 0.82 | 0.90 | +$42.8 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | YES | $1,300 | 0.66 | 0.64 | $-35.5 |
| Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? | YES | $115 | 0.34 | 0.17 | $-18.52 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | NO | $367.66 | 0.24 | 0.28 | +$12.87 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1? | YES | $200 | 0.20 | 0.03 | $-34.5 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | NO | $230 | 0.97 | 0.98 | +$2.7 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026? | YES | $11.76 | 0.83 | 0.30 | $-6.24 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | YES | $999.99 | 0.39 | 0.17 | $-220 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | YES | $40 | 0.47 | 0.41 | $-2.2 |
| Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | YES | $50 | 0.59 | 0.56 | $-1.25 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30? | NO | $2,091.13 | 0.87 | 0.86 | $-3.77 |