0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$121,214
Active Capital
$37,984
Active Markets
18
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | YES | $1,400.39 | 0.62 | 0.48 | $-183.92 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | NO | $414.96 | 0.63 | 0.91 | +$116.17 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | NO | $715.33 | 0.43 | 0.60 | +$122.04 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | YES | $349.03 | 0.76 | 0.37 | $-135.75 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | NO | $2,458.8 | 0.82 | 0.83 | +$37.48 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | YES | $1,043.29 | 0.84 | 0.94 | +$106.06 |
| Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m? | YES | $529.45 | 0.11 | — | $-58.92 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | YES | $2,350.75 | 0.45 | 0.44 | $-28.87 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | YES | $33,514.86 | 0.90 | 0.93 | +$1,013.86 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | YES | $3,000.08 | 0.56 | 0.13 | $-1,305.03 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | YES | $758.23 | 0.71 | 0.82 | +$82.1 |
| Will Trump nationalize elections? | NO | $272.4 | 0.62 | 0.84 | +$60.16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | YES | $20.83 | 0.86 | 0.86 | +$0.16 |