0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$71,748
Active Capital
$46,863
Active Markets
21
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? | NO | $1,579.2 | 0.85 | 0.88 | +$32.89 |
| Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m? | NO | $254.03 | 0.93 | 0.95 | +$6.35 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | YES | $68.33 | 0.60 | 0.67 | +$4.21 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | YES | $149.03 | 0.84 | 0.82 | $-2.69 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m? | NO | $544.13 | 0.98 | 0.99 | +$5.71 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | NO | $8,302.03 | 0.87 | 1.00 | +$1,097.03 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? | YES | $2,372.41 | 0.77 | 0.85 | +$186.44 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | NO | $5,658.62 | 0.13 | 0.60 | +$2,692.69 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026? | YES | $281.11 | 0.73 | 0.91 | +$49.36 |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? | YES | $341.23 | 0.38 | 0.26 | $-40.28 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | NO | $4,603.99 | 0.67 | 0.93 | +$1,207.14 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? | YES | $1,679.51 | 0.22 | 0.12 | $-163.71 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | YES | $22,483.24 | 0.99 | 1.00 | +$190.19 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | NO | $595.28 | 0.56 | 0.40 | $-98.81 |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m? | NO | $70 | 0.91 | 0.93 | +$1.2 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | YES | $2,534.2 | 0.57 | 0.76 | +$482.68 |
| Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social? | NO | $1,130.38 | 0.39 | 0.34 | $-61.01 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? | NO | $1,325.07 | 0.25 | 0.28 | +$38.16 |
| Will Trump nationalize elections? | NO | $272.4 | 0.62 | 0.78 | +$41.09 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30? | YES | $258.39 | 0.84 | 0.99 | +$40.48 |