0xd4140031e313f8d850740a80d2ee6653c925a4db
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$41,711
Active Capital
$81,212
Active Markets
36
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | NO | $584.93 | 0.86 | 0.92 | +$31.74 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | NO | $920.66 | 0.98 | 0.99 | +$6.69 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | YES | $100 | 0.17 | — | $-17 |
| Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | NO | $1,030.93 | 0.57 | 0.70 | +$138.08 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | YES | $64.98 | 0.95 | 0.95 | $-0.39 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | NO | $436.21 | 0.47 | 0.85 | +$169.18 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | YES | $4,940.27 | 0.01 | — | $-44.46 |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? | YES | $14.6 | 0.59 | 0.43 | $-2.35 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | YES | $5,449.02 | 0.13 | 0.14 | +$81.74 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO | $7,999.95 | 0.70 | 0.78 | +$570.76 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | NO | $1,000 | 0.85 | 0.97 | +$117.17 |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | NO | $399.9 | 0.48 | 0.71 | +$93.98 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | YES | $252.2 | 0.05 | 0.08 | +$8.06 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | YES | $1,080.41 | 0.02 | — | $-26.81 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | NO | $200 | 0.57 | 0.52 | $-11 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | YES | $188.04 | 0.07 | — | $-13.34 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | NO | $9,332.49 | 0.00 | — | $-38 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | YES | $292.14 | 0.54 | 0.90 | +$104.35 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | YES | $566.72 | 0.17 | 0.06 | $-62.34 |
| Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | NO | $598.77 | 0.00 | — | $-2.45 |