0xc4086b708cd3a50880b7069add1a1a80000f4675
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$228,797
Active Capital
$52,177
Active Markets
17
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | YES | $7,254.79 | 0.53 | 0.52 | $-108.82 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: April | NO | $184.22 | 0.37 | 0.32 | $-10.13 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | YES | $2,780.7 | 0.29 | — | $-806.4 |
| Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | NO | $974.41 | 0.96 | 0.99 | +$27.74 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | NO | $230.19 | 0.72 | 0.76 | +$7.32 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | NO | $276.23 | 0.55 | 0.66 | +$30.16 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | NO | $5,385.11 | 0.02 | 0.01 | $-96.05 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | NO | $1,336.93 | 0.82 | 0.79 | $-47.89 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | YES | $39 | 0.08 | 0.96 | +$34.32 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO | $2,429.46 | 0.73 | 0.71 | $-45.03 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | NO | $18,321.67 | 0.86 | 0.83 | $-461.76 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | YES | $1,029.49 | 0.12 | — | $-122.84 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | NO | $1,456.41 | 0.95 | 0.96 | +$16.02 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | NO | $30,000.19 | 0.92 | 0.92 | $-99.87 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | YES | $6,092.58 | 0.01 | 0.01 | +$12.68 |