0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$2,395,583
Active Capital
$659,215
Active Markets
33
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | NO | $5,092.11 | 0.73 | 0.96 | +$1,175.39 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | YES | $225.03 | 0.11 | 0.01 | $-23.07 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | NO | $1,331.35 | 0.76 | 0.94 | +$230.24 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | NO | $7,452.59 | 0.89 | 0.96 | +$570.56 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | NO | $20,642.75 | 0.71 | 0.86 | +$3,292.6 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | YES | $47,244.04 | 0.63 | 0.73 | +$4,780.58 |
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | NO | $3,088.7 | 0.81 | 0.94 | +$413.4 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | NO | $71,713.65 | 0.74 | 0.94 | +$14,111.88 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | NO | $51,243.91 | 0.65 | 0.74 | +$4,636.55 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | YES | $3,333 | 0.11 | — | $-366.63 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | NO | $6,529.99 | 0.84 | 0.83 | $-25.95 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | YES | $16,960.9 | 0.45 | 0.42 | $-398.29 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | NO | $67,375.13 | 0.87 | 0.99 | +$8,193.49 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | YES | $11,727.54 | 0.09 | 0.04 | $-530.55 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO | $408,519.71 | 0.73 | 0.70 | $-10,419.3 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | NO | $7,252.31 | 0.75 | 0.81 | +$411.51 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | YES | $1,728.86 | 0.26 | 0.29 | +$65.8 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | YES | $3,100.83 | 0.36 | 0.34 | $-46.82 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | YES | $2,381.74 | 0.26 | 0.29 | +$83.97 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31? | NO | $104.19 | 0.91 | 0.96 | +$5.9 |