0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$1,328,307
Active Capital
$115,987
Active Markets
70
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | NO | $2,875.48 | 0.86 | 0.92 | +$175.89 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026? | NO | $582.9 | 0.29 | — | $-170.1 |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? | NO | $18.32 | 0.80 | 0.98 | +$3.4 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | YES | $10,000 | 0.06 | 0.05 | $-25 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | NO | $267.88 | 0.77 | 0.98 | +$55.99 |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? | YES | $262.53 | 0.08 | 0.14 | +$16.48 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | YES | $1,664.11 | 0.74 | 0.39 | $-576.2 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | YES | $2,000 | 0.22 | 0.17 | $-110 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | YES | $29,763.85 | 0.01 | 0.01 | +$14.88 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | YES | $4,963.59 | 0.34 | 0.71 | +$1,838.13 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | NO | $1,373.11 | 0.66 | 0.92 | +$347.54 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | YES | $4,406.71 | 0.01 | 0.03 | +$102.32 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | NO | $33.52 | 0.62 | 0.93 | +$10.44 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | NO | $14,926.96 | 0.68 | 0.90 | +$3,223.9 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | YES | $6,788.34 | 0.01 | 0.02 | +$23.76 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | YES | $42,675.38 | 0.29 | 0.17 | $-5,183.99 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | YES | $10,308.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $-5.15 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | YES | $499.99 | 0.24 | 0.20 | $-20.5 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | YES | $1,000.02 | 0.32 | 0.29 | $-25 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | YES | $14,999.99 | 0.19 | 0.16 | $-572.31 |