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Polymarket #435

0xdfe3fedc5c7679be42c3d393e99d4b55247b73c4

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Tracked since 3/27/2026

PnL

$378,272

Active Capital

$291,255

Active Markets

16

Current Positions (16)

MarketSideSizeAvg EntryCurrentPnL
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?YES$499.980.520.10$-207.49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?NO$87,047.410.600.83+$20,172.72
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?YES$1,0000.420.41$-15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?NO$104.210.350.69+$35.94
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?YES$100,0000.170.16$-1,450
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?NO$183,112.030.620.84+$41,996.93
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?YES$309.660.340.35+$4.64
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?NO$2,387.360.910.94+$60.88
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?YES$1,818.950.75—$-1,366
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?YES$9000.090.15+$58.5
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?NO$99.990.160.03$-13.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?NO$64,618.560.93—$-59,854.75
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?NO$20,0000.920.99+$1,390
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?NO$5,358.940.790.99+$1,085.68
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?YES$23,538.930.730.81+$1,927.6
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?NO$1,1000.690.90+$234