DashboardSurgesMarketsAbout|XTG

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lava-lava

Polymarket #177

0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a

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Tracked since 3/27/2026

PnL

$981,698

Active Capital

$40,559

Active Markets

87

Current Positions (88)

MarketSideSizeAvg EntryCurrentPnL
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?NO$1,1110.30—$-333.3
Will Arco win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?YES$3,332.890.01—$-33.33
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?YES$9,999.980.01—$-80
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?YES$4,192.620.05—$-206.55
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?YES$3,364.320.13—$-448.09
Will André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?YES$39.060.12—$-4.69
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?NO$3,3330.710.96+$843.25
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?YES$8,328.630.240.04$-1,657.36
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?YES$23,354.080.04—$-1,037.15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?NO$15,335.110.790.86+$1,091.89
Spread: Spain (-1.5)YES$5000.50—$-250
Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?YES$4,878.230.16—$-803.07
French election called by October 31?YES$3,532.960.58—$-2,032.88
Will STAČILO! get between 5% and 8% of the vote in the Czech election?YES$459.630.58—$-264.88
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be at least 46%?YES$48.880.14—$-6.84
Will SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?YES$4,803.690.34—$-1,613.98
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?YES$3,475.020.47—$-1,632.29
Christian Democratic Party (KrF) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?NO$372.610.29—$-107.41
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?NO$1,1110.24—$-266.64
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?YES$1,0000.11—$-110