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lava-lava

Polymarket #158

0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a

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Tracked since 3/27/2026

PnL

$873,714

Active Capital

$107,875

Active Markets

147

Current Positions (151)

MarketSideSizeAvg EntryCurrentPnL
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?NO$1,1110.300.22$-88.88
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?YES$2,403.880.08—$-183.19
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?YES$32,909.660.08—$-2,501.53
Will Arco win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?YES$3,332.890.01—$-33.33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?YES$24,855.710.01—$-278.33
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?NO$17,991.250.12—$-2,150.58
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?YES$2,221.990.01—$-15.55
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?YES$3,731.120.10—$-375.34
Will André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?YES$39.060.12—$-4.69
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?NO$14,779.990.730.81+$1,253.08
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?YES$18,440.30.320.18$-2,505.58
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?YES$6,474.960.220.23+$72.43
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?NO$532.390.440.98+$285.12
Will SPD get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech election?YES$46.180.48—$-22.17
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?YES$23,354.080.040.00$-1,025.48
Will Franco Parisi come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?YES$212.40.22—$-46.63
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYES$1,276.120.330.47+$172.28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?NO$14,780.110.790.79$-24.95
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SPNO$210.690.21—$-43.77
Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?NO$2,208.80.39—$-864.22