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lava-lava

Polymarket #127

0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a

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Tracked since 3/27/2026

PnL

$900,951

Active Capital

$230,338

Active Markets

164

Current Positions (156)

MarketSideSizeAvg EntryCurrentPnL
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?NO$1,1110.300.34+$49.88
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?NO$1,857.060.60—$-1,114.24
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?YES$4,073.490.271.00+$2,981.58
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?YES$9,999.980.010.00$-75
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?YES$4,192.620.05—$-206.55
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?NO$17,991.250.12—$-2,150.58
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?YES$2,221.990.01—$-15.55
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?YES$30,642.920.281.00+$21,931.05
Will André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?YES$39.060.12—$-4.69
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?YES$23,354.080.040.00$-1,002.12
Will Franco Parisi come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?YES$212.40.22—$-46.63
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYES$1,276.120.330.53+$248.84
Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?NO$2,208.80.39—$-864.22
Will Ciprian Ciucu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?YES$1,0000.05—$-50
Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?YES$4,878.230.16—$-803.07
French election called by October 31?YES$3,532.960.58—$-2,032.88
Will STAČILO! get between 5% and 8% of the vote in the Czech election?YES$459.630.58—$-264.88
Will Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?YES$501.50.06—$-30.22
Will JA21 win 13 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?YES$300.08—$-2.4
Will the red bloc win more than 92 seats in the Norwegian election?YES$3,654.990.18—$-656.79