0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$666,324
Active Capital
$226,794
Active Markets
17
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES | $838,565.8 | 0.16 | — | $-134,884.99 |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? | YES | $100,000 | 0.00 | — | $-158.7 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | NO | $82,041.51 | 0.10 | — | $-8,576.21 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | NO | $140,596.4 | 0.06 | — | $-7,790.87 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | YES | $54,504.74 | 0.00 | — | $-86.5 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | YES | $198,702.98 | 0.05 | — | $-9,170.34 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | YES | $243,989.98 | 0.13 | — | $-31,792.14 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | YES | $17,704.33 | 0.44 | — | $-7,843.43 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | YES | $68,445.92 | 0.29 | 0.48 | +$13,347.02 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | NO | $1,930.44 | 0.35 | — | $-681.99 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | YES | $108,376.77 | 0.19 | — | $-20,910.54 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | NO | $51,965.5 | 0.63 | 0.99 | +$18,693.03 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? | YES | $9,999.98 | 0.03 | — | $-250 |
| Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair? | YES | $100,000 | 0.00 | — | $-158.7 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | YES | $305,055.27 | 0.12 | — | $-37,248.77 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | NO | $5,768.58 | 0.20 | — | $-1,144.54 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES | $637,102.08 | 0.13 | 0.22 | +$60,817.76 |