0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$250,569
Active Capital
$212,381
Active Markets
404
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470? | NO | $1,000 | 0.14 | — | $-140 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | YES | $1,042.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | +$1.98 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | YES | $789.55 | 0.19 | 0.03 | $-123.56 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | YES | $1,350.25 | 0.44 | 0.20 | $-311.54 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17? | YES | $501 | 0.07 | — | $-35.1 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | YES | $1,429.11 | 0.50 | 0.44 | $-86.91 |
| Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026? | YES | $322 | 0.07 | — | $-21.04 |
| Will Reddit say "OpenAI" during earnings call? | NO | $213.51 | 0.50 | — | $-106.75 |
| Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? | YES | $78.8 | 0.04 | 0.00 | $-2.83 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | NO | $714.55 | 0.65 | 0.74 | +$67.91 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | YES | $300 | 0.14 | 0.05 | $-27.41 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | YES | $25.28 | 0.03 | 0.04 | +$0.21 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million? | NO | $92.76 | 0.04 | — | $-3.62 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | YES | $1,117.55 | 0.08 | — | $-85.22 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES | $10,000 | 0.07 | — | $-679.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | YES | $10 | 0.01 | — | $-0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | YES | $10 | 0.01 | — | $-0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | YES | $10 | 0.01 | — | $-0.14 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | YES | $2,239.79 | 0.10 | 0.03 | $-178.52 |
| Prince Andrew charged by March 31? | YES | $22 | 0.14 | — | $-3.08 |