0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$126,386
Active Capital
$116,247
Active Markets
376
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470? | NO | $1,000 | 0.14 | — | $-140 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | YES | $1,042.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | +$3.03 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? | YES | $2,557.5 | 0.93 | 0.99 | +$159.36 |
| Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping? | YES | $56 | 0.16 | — | $-8.96 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES | $450.08 | 0.17 | 0.10 | $-33.76 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | NO | $1,450.63 | 0.65 | 0.44 | $-309.65 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | YES | $568 | 0.37 | 0.56 | +$110.48 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | NO | $182.3 | 0.96 | 0.97 | +$1.94 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026? | YES | $1,383.28 | 0.91 | 1.00 | +$124.99 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million? | NO | $92.76 | 0.04 | — | $-3.62 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | YES | $473.95 | 0.01 | 0.09 | +$35.43 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | NO | $513.45 | 0.68 | 0.78 | +$50.62 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? | YES | $600.7 | 0.05 | 0.00 | $-31.27 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | YES | $1,117.55 | 0.08 | — | $-85.22 |
| Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1) | NO | $194.3 | 0.29 | — | $-56.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | YES | $10 | 0.01 | — | $-0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | YES | $10 | 0.01 | — | $-0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | YES | $10 | 0.01 | — | $-0.14 |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | YES | $499.99 | 0.13 | — | $-65 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | YES | $5,684.42 | 0.34 | 0.25 | $-478.92 |