MisTKy

Polymarket #761

0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b

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Tracked since 3/27/2026

PnL

$261,329

Active Capital

$36,000

Active Markets

Current Positions (24)

Market	Side	Size	Avg Entry	Current	PnL
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	NO	$700	0.80	0.78	$-14
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	NO	$539.94	0.70	0.79	+$50.19
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?	NO	$1,893.4	0.93	0.99	+$115.97
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	NO	$1,185.69	0.97	0.99	+$20.75
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	NO	$749.54	0.77	0.83	+$44.97
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	NO	$2,514.74	0.84	0.85	+$37.87
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	NO	$5,803.5	0.94	0.96	+$119.03
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	NO	$500	0.84	0.95	+$57.25
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?	NO	$1,070.47	0.86	0.90	+$37.47
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?	YES	$335.94	0.87	0.92	+$17.91
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	NO	$1,434.25	0.74	0.69	$-78.88
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	NO	$3,412.14	0.59	0.58	$-17.06
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?	YES	$1,738.34	0.34	0.01	$-577.42
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	NO	$3,190	0.38	—	$-1,205.14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	YES	$341.21	0.61	0.63	+$5.12
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	NO	$608.89	0.82	0.83	+$9.13
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	NO	$694.98	0.81	0.83	+$17.37
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	NO	$19.3	0.82	0.72	$-1.96
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	NO	$4,392.67	0.95	0.97	+$83.46
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	NO	$340	0.84	0.84	+$1.7