0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$198,713
Active Capital
$14,810
Active Markets
19
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? | NO | $560.83 | 0.70 | 0.67 | $-15.17 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | YES | $20 | 0.56 | 0.67 | +$2.2 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | YES | $1,602.84 | 0.28 | 0.07 | $-335.54 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | YES | $5 | 0.62 | 0.28 | $-1.7 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | NO | $11,248.72 | 0.40 | — | $-4,531.52 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | NO | $25.84 | 0.57 | 0.80 | +$5.84 |
| Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? | NO | $1,623.11 | 0.74 | 0.80 | +$97.39 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | YES | $451.88 | 0.34 | 0.34 | $-2.26 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | YES | $17,763.81 | 0.51 | — | $-9,125.02 |
| Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | NO | $2,951 | 0.99 | 1.00 | +$30.99 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | NO | $608.89 | 0.82 | 0.83 | +$9.13 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? | YES | $8,508.99 | 0.04 | 0.01 | $-241.43 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? | YES | $493.75 | 0.26 | 0.09 | $-86.41 |
| Özgür Özel arrested by June 30? | NO | $5,413.5 | 0.86 | 0.93 | +$350.92 |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | YES | $285.36 | 0.24 | 0.10 | $-38.52 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | NO | $45.42 | 0.70 | 0.88 | +$8.44 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | NO | $5,000 | 0.75 | 0.83 | +$400 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | YES | $11,492.88 | 0.06 | — | $-666.59 |