classified

Polymarket #194

0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8

leaderboard-monthoveralltop-100

Tracked since 3/27/2026

PnL

$756,609

Active Capital

$107,222

Active Markets

Current Positions (28)

Market	Side	Size	Avg Entry	Current	PnL
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	YES	$708.58	0.04	0.07	+$24.8
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	NO	$471.61	0.68	0.96	+$133.23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	YES	$4,646.52	0.03	—	$-132.16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	NO	$183.19	0.30	0.29	$-2.75
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	YES	$72,947.91	0.53	0.71	+$12,999.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	YES	$5,206.79	0.18	0.20	+$130.17
Iran leadership change by December 31?	YES	$54,819.04	0.45	0.27	$-10,386.67
Nothing Ever Happens: May	NO	$5.62	0.11	0.00	$-0.61
Nothing Ever Happens: May	YES	$1,378.31	0.95	1.00	+$63.48
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	NO	$4,550.47	0.36	0.81	+$2,029.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	YES	$38,417.52	0.34	0.26	$-3,112.05
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	YES	$85.53	0.21	—	$-17.96
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	YES	$3,118.35	0.07	—	$-206.85
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	YES	$224.89	0.16	0.14	$-5.62
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	YES	$38,001.78	0.86	—	$-32,520.44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	NO	$60,800.07	0.24	0.27	+$1,479.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	YES	$1,151.9	0.70	0.73	+$40.32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	NO	$734.04	0.36	0.41	+$36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	YES	$51,611.93	0.16	—	$-8,420.07
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	YES	$2,122.66	0.05	—	$-103.5