Warren-Buffett

Polymarket #1156

0x4478d7bd8a295691ac84f60a5ec2b47e122102a4

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Tracked since 4/15/2026

PnL

$173,788

Active Capital

$92,615

Active Markets

Current Positions (38)

Market	Side	Size	Avg Entry	Current	PnL
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	YES	$735.26	0.24	0.21	$-15.73
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	NO	$2,000	0.30	0.32	+$30
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	YES	$18,110.17	0.13	0.14	+$132.96
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	YES	$3,530.73	0.42	0.43	+$52.96
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	YES	$1,000	0.76	0.73	$-31.5
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?	NO	$999.99	0.87	0.85	$-20
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	YES	$65.19	0.23	0.23	+$0.33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	NO	$3,999.99	0.56	0.54	$-95.86
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	NO	$1,535.01	0.74	0.92	+$275.93
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	YES	$2,000.01	0.23	0.07	$-300.23
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?	NO	$86.88	0.73	0.76	+$2.61
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?	YES	$516.88	0.25	0.10	$-74.75
Nothing Ever Happens: July	YES	$1,999.98	0.85	0.78	$-140.99
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	YES	$6,724	0.02	0.01	$-30.92
Fed rate hike in 2026?	YES	$35,000.01	0.57	0.66	+$2,867.2
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?	NO	$2,274.31	0.97	0.98	+$23.38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	YES	$24,999.98	0.86	0.77	$-2,286.3
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	YES	$2,999.92	0.57	0.60	+$115.01
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	NO	$3,124.89	0.84	0.98	+$436.61
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?	NO	$7.84	0.92	0.98	+$0.51