0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$418,528
Active Capital
$297,891
Active Markets
46
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026? | NO | $999.97 | 0.08 | — | $-80 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | YES | $18,560.78 | 0.11 | — | $-2,018.13 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | NO | $6,915.78 | 0.35 | 0.34 | $-66.08 |
| Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | YES | $4,999.98 | 0.02 | — | $-102.04 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | NO | $9,267.77 | 0.82 | 0.99 | +$1,517.54 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | YES | $709.29 | 0.51 | 0.26 | $-177.27 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | NO | $750 | 0.96 | 1.00 | +$31.38 |
| Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | YES | $4,999.98 | 0.02 | — | $-102.04 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | NO | $37,136.41 | 0.87 | 0.88 | +$185.68 |
| Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election? | NO | $5 | 1.00 | 1.00 | +$0 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | YES | $6.18 | 0.85 | 0.90 | +$0.28 |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | YES | $1.6 | 0.50 | 0.37 | $-0.21 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | NO | $95,691.1 | 0.93 | 0.96 | +$3,382.39 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | NO | $491.55 | 0.78 | 0.80 | +$7.37 |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | NO | $145.14 | 0.88 | 0.92 | +$5.08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | NO | $544.58 | 0.76 | 0.77 | +$3.86 |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | YES | $4,999.98 | 0.02 | — | $-102.04 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | NO | $216.77 | 0.95 | 0.98 | +$7.39 |
| Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | YES | $4,999.98 | 0.02 | — | $-102.04 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | YES | $1,464.52 | 0.95 | 0.32 | $-916.79 |