0xbb8e6477bcb4d0a79449507c607d36fd228fb243
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
-$1,645
Active Capital
$21,460
Active Markets
48
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | YES | $1,174.4 | 0.86 | 0.89 | +$33.44 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | YES | $75,298.93 | 0.83 | — | $-62,664 |
| Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025? | YES | $5,878.9 | 0.67 | — | $-3,932.69 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES | $3,137.35 | 0.31 | 0.10 | $-674.53 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | YES | $100.46 | 0.64 | 0.66 | +$1.65 |
| Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August? | YES | $814.5 | 0.19 | — | $-154.59 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | YES | $3,071.66 | 0.07 | 0.25 | +$529.86 |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | YES | $2,598.83 | 0.40 | 0.02 | $-978.45 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | YES | $41,567.37 | 0.49 | 0.27 | $-9,341.93 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | YES | $18,823.83 | 0.40 | — | $-7,555.04 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | YES | $6,306.5 | 0.25 | — | $-1,560.78 |
| Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January? | YES | $1,657.44 | 0.07 | — | $-115.07 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | YES | $515.3 | 0.70 | 0.55 | $-81.83 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | YES | $39,518.77 | 0.55 | — | $-21,807.92 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31? | YES | $40,874.89 | 0.17 | — | $-6,973.95 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | YES | $4,350.69 | 0.41 | 0.28 | $-567.05 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | YES | $1,675.86 | 0.04 | — | $-71.99 |
| Netanyahu out by 2025? | YES | $1,291.83 | 0.20 | — | $-256.86 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025? | YES | $2,328.49 | 0.40 | — | $-935.35 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? | YES | $2,715.82 | 0.39 | — | $-1,066.13 |