0xbb8e6477bcb4d0a79449507c607d36fd228fb243
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$54,740
Active Capital
$29,029
Active Markets
47
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | YES | $75,298.93 | 0.83 | — | $-62,664 |
| Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025? | YES | $5,878.9 | 0.67 | — | $-3,932.69 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | YES | $100.46 | 0.64 | 0.70 | +$6.17 |
| Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August? | YES | $814.5 | 0.19 | — | $-154.59 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | YES | $5,459 | 0.07 | — | $-405.3 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | YES | $694.98 | 0.47 | — | $-323.75 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | YES | $3,071.66 | 0.07 | 0.22 | +$440.78 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | YES | $6,306.5 | 0.25 | — | $-1,560.78 |
| Ravens vs. Browns | NO | $6,519.25 | 0.21 | — | $-1,369.04 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? | NO | $37,661.21 | 0.29 | — | $-10,833.25 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | YES | $2,467.28 | 0.58 | 0.74 | +$415.54 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31? | YES | $40,874.89 | 0.17 | — | $-6,973.95 |
| Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands on Friday? | NO | $555 | 0.01 | — | $-7.21 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | YES | $4,346.45 | 0.69 | 0.70 | +$72.27 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? | YES | $8,695.7 | 0.10 | — | $-894.4 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | YES | $1,675.86 | 0.04 | — | $-71.99 |
| Netanyahu out by 2025? | YES | $1,291.83 | 0.20 | — | $-256.86 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? | YES | $2,715.82 | 0.39 | — | $-1,066.13 |
| Fed rate cut in 2025? | NO | $1,032.7 | 0.15 | — | $-159.27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | YES | $52,841.14 | 0.06 | 0.01 | $-2,408.55 |