0xd426adbc3c4461c86099c26221c877f20e42334a
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$435,228
Active Capital
$48,442
Active Markets
301
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31? | YES | $6,352.18 | 0.15 | — | $-982.66 |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | YES | $6,443.96 | 0.03 | — | $-172.36 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | YES | $8,992.12 | 0.21 | — | $-1,861.3 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | YES | $3,085.03 | 0.14 | — | $-431.9 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | NO | $5,981.46 | 0.58 | 0.75 | +$1,016.15 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | YES | $1,851.89 | 0.12 | 0.25 | +$231.63 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | NO | $1,700 | 0.29 | — | $-501 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES | $43,921.77 | 0.04 | — | $-1,899.53 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | YES | $2,489.91 | 0.01 | — | $-22.41 |
| Will Trump say "Memphis" during the State of the Union address? | NO | $215.59 | 0.58 | — | $-125.36 |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | NO | $20 | 0.35 | 0.66 | +$6.2 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 15+ times during Speech to the Nation? | YES | $20 | 0.32 | 0.06 | $-5.2 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? | YES | $355.92 | 0.04 | — | $-15.66 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? | YES | $5,000 | 0.04 | — | $-200 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? | YES | $4,959.86 | 0.01 | — | $-29.76 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | YES | $162.71 | 0.04 | — | $-6.83 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | YES | $3,507.48 | 0.19 | — | $-667.47 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? | NO | $2,599.99 | 0.68 | — | $-1,767.99 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | NO | $3,944.38 | 0.13 | — | $-511.43 |
| Will Trump say "India" during the State of the Union address? | NO | $546 | 0.28 | — | $-150.88 |