0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$90,777
Active Capital
$102,293
Active Markets
65
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | NO | $39.73 | 0.69 | 0.78 | +$3.38 |
| Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16? | NO | $955.28 | 0.01 | — | $-4.78 |
| Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12? | YES | $3,078.18 | 1.00 | 1.00 | $-3.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17? | YES | $57.68 | 0.02 | — | $-0.94 |
| Will "Walter Trarbach" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards? | YES | $611,726.79 | 0.08 | — | $-50,977.03 |
| Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? | YES | $11,947.69 | 0.05 | — | $-579.79 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | YES | $12,956.52 | 0.01 | — | $-191.03 |
| Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31? | NO | $1,000 | 0.00 | — | $-2 |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | NO | $2,097.71 | 0.99 | 0.99 | +$10.27 |
| Will "Yesterday" be said during Eurovision? | YES | $1,000 | 0.00 | — | $-1 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | YES | $857.04 | 0.09 | — | $-81.02 |
| Will Trump praise Jesus by May 31, 2026? | NO | $1,000 | 0.04 | — | $-40 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | YES | $562.51 | 0.04 | — | $-24.27 |
| Will Donald Trump dance on May 9, 2026? | YES | $990 | 0.00 | — | $-0.99 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | YES | $1,000 | 0.07 | — | $-71 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt be between 25 and 30 minutes late to the next press briefing? | NO | $371.66 | 0.02 | — | $-7.43 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | NO | $30,582.88 | 0.87 | 0.88 | +$212.92 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | YES | $3,102.8 | 0.85 | — | $-2,623.57 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | YES | $3,710.78 | 0.20 | — | $-738.27 |
| Will Donald Trump dance on May 12, 2026? | YES | $411.27 | 0.00 | — | $-0.41 |