0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
-$63
Active Capital
$59,183
Active Markets
76
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | NO | $2,999.37 | 0.28 | — | $-852.01 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026? | YES | $150 | 0.24 | — | $-36 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | YES | $3,461.17 | 0.12 | 0.01 | $-390.73 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | NO | $1,919.35 | 0.56 | 0.86 | +$588.46 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES | $231,801.41 | 0.30 | 0.01 | $-68,198.76 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | NO | $16.43 | 0.30 | 0.47 | +$2.79 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day? | NO | $1,000 | 0.88 | 0.93 | +$53.5 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7? | YES | $4,492.59 | 0.03 | — | $-134.67 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | YES | $2,499.45 | 0.74 | 0.81 | +$176.43 |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | YES | $37.5 | 0.14 | 0.00 | $-5.34 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? | YES | $9,799.2 | 0.03 | — | $-310.27 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | NO | $21,207.89 | 0.07 | — | $-1,484.55 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | YES | $5,997.79 | 0.17 | — | $-999.41 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | NO | $849.56 | 0.35 | 0.58 | +$200.65 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | YES | $10,096.44 | 0.07 | — | $-706.59 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | NO | $78,768.46 | 0.06 | — | $-4,669.87 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | NO | $825.57 | 0.22 | 0.62 | +$331.54 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17? | YES | $67.75 | 0.19 | — | $-12.87 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | YES | $7,508.01 | 0.15 | 0.00 | $-1,122.45 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | NO | $1,115.34 | 0.68 | 0.77 | +$101.37 |