0xb4f2592e67c333e73c923547cfe05e768180e5fa
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$62,384
Active Capital
$62,049
Active Markets
43
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | YES | $595 | 0.00 | 0.02 | +$9.52 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | NO | $5,979.81 | 0.67 | 0.70 | +$212.58 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | NO | $1,386.22 | 0.60 | 0.45 | $-217.4 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | NO | $35.96 | 0.79 | 0.98 | +$6.85 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | NO | $5,211.99 | 0.73 | 0.92 | +$952.73 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | NO | $7,877.84 | 0.19 | 0.28 | +$653.34 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | YES | $6,986.41 | 0.46 | — | $-3,241.99 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | YES | $300 | 0.01 | — | $-4.2 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | NO | $10,270.66 | 0.37 | 0.92 | +$5,613.32 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? | YES | $495.99 | 0.00 | 0.01 | +$2.72 |
| US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | NO | $15,554 | 0.66 | — | $-10,281.79 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | NO | $7,660.56 | 0.34 | — | $-2,612.74 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? | NO | $26.3 | 0.82 | 0.94 | +$3.16 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | YES | $110.96 | 0.05 | — | $-5.75 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | YES | $4,485.04 | 0.67 | — | $-2,991.57 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | NO | $8,685.01 | 0.09 | 0.81 | +$6,288.19 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | NO | $5,723.39 | 0.86 | 0.96 | +$558.01 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | NO | $199.99 | 0.38 | 0.35 | $-5 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? | NO | $1,494.94 | 0.68 | 0.73 | +$82.78 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | NO | $1,907.45 | 0.75 | 0.89 | +$257.1 |