0xb4f2592e67c333e73c923547cfe05e768180e5fa
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$31,421
Active Capital
$46,498
Active Markets
33
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10? | NO | $6,842.41 | 0.45 | — | $-3,063 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | NO | $8,289.81 | 0.54 | — | $-4,453.38 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | NO | $15,323.14 | 0.33 | 0.62 | +$4,387.57 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | NO | $2,625.43 | 0.56 | 0.69 | +$354.17 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | NO | $6,201.45 | 0.56 | — | $-3,446.3 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | NO | $7,877.84 | 0.19 | — | $-1,513.07 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | YES | $6,986.41 | 0.46 | — | $-3,241.99 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | YES | $300 | 0.01 | — | $-4.2 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? | YES | $495.99 | 0.00 | — | $-1 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | NO | $20,000.01 | 0.92 | 0.93 | +$100.02 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | YES | $110.96 | 0.05 | — | $-5.75 |
| US bank failure by July 31? | NO | $986.02 | 0.83 | — | $-816.2 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | NO | $9,684.99 | 0.10 | — | $-1,010.65 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? | NO | $1,494.94 | 0.68 | — | $-1,016 |
| Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19? | YES | $150 | 0.82 | 0.99 | +$25.12 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | NO | $54.82 | 0.47 | 0.65 | +$9.54 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | NO | $257.54 | 0.73 | 0.93 | +$51.18 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17? | NO | $6.1 | 0.18 | — | $-1.1 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31? | NO | $5,075.72 | 0.75 | 0.96 | +$1,098.37 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | NO | $9,075.94 | 0.33 | — | $-3,002.34 |