0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$1,611,474
Active Capital
$147,373
Active Markets
105
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | YES | $7,855.58 | 0.07 | — | $-523.7 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | YES | $963.24 | 0.06 | — | $-54.35 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? | NO | $2,304.46 | 0.97 | 0.99 | +$49.55 |
| Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | YES | $2,072.81 | 0.07 | — | $-138.19 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | NO | $1,126.31 | 0.98 | 0.98 | +$2.82 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | NO | $843.46 | 0.81 | 0.97 | +$128.92 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | YES | $4,012.14 | 0.26 | 0.66 | +$1,571.34 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | NO | $1,111 | 0.58 | 0.76 | +$199.98 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | NO | $366.08 | 0.06 | — | $-21.96 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | YES | $22,875.45 | 0.02 | — | $-512.98 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | YES | $129.5 | 0.14 | — | $-18.13 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | YES | $432,227.05 | 0.01 | 0.01 | $-818.64 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | YES | $5,185.08 | 0.04 | 0.00 | $-178.37 |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | YES | $389,626.03 | 0.02 | — | $-6,493.51 |
| Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | YES | $124,521.72 | 0.02 | — | $-2,541.24 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | YES | $44,832.49 | 0.01 | — | $-308.9 |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | YES | $124,521.72 | 0.02 | — | $-2,541.24 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | YES | $24,215.3 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $-158.73 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | NO | $15,619.86 | 0.00 | — | $-37.6 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | YES | $21,344.55 | 0.06 | 0.07 | +$27.15 |