0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$259,915
Active Capital
$112,956
Active Markets
41
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | YES | $902.2 | 0.02 | 0.02 | $-6.4 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | YES | $3,507.14 | 0.65 | 0.61 | $-111.71 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | YES | $672.74 | 0.21 | 0.11 | $-68.39 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | NO | $17.86 | 0.93 | 1.00 | +$1.24 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | NO | $1,000.01 | 0.77 | 0.99 | +$215.89 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | YES | $2,033.63 | 0.40 | 0.30 | $-191.51 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | YES | $800 | 0.41 | 0.43 | +$20 |
| Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | YES | $9.51 | 0.02 | 0.00 | $-0.18 |
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | NO | $1,497.32 | 0.39 | 0.70 | +$476.15 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | YES | $7,839.18 | 0.46 | 0.51 | +$354.96 |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | YES | $664.88 | 0.43 | 0.41 | $-18.06 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | YES | $8,293.99 | 0.59 | 0.60 | +$72.65 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | NO | $2,000 | 0.78 | 0.85 | +$147.5 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | NO | $5,999.99 | 0.91 | 0.96 | +$271.01 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | NO | $565.04 | 0.60 | 0.65 | +$23.74 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | YES | $2,002.77 | 0.22 | 0.28 | +$110.15 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | YES | $2,800.28 | 0.28 | 0.23 | $-145.93 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | YES | $6,127.25 | 0.57 | 0.67 | +$592.55 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | YES | $1,908.18 | 0.51 | 0.81 | +$577.27 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | NO | $24,999.99 | 0.86 | 0.92 | +$1,295.05 |