0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
Tracked since 4/15/2026
PnL
$132,491
Active Capital
$51,279
Active Markets
60
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada recession before 2027? | NO | $1,925.38 | 0.01 | — | $-27.37 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES | $801.98 | 0.14 | 0.07 | $-52.13 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | YES | $5,159.45 | 0.30 | 0.29 | $-30.13 |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | YES | $596.24 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $-4.83 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | NO | $1,000 | 0.82 | 0.89 | +$65 |
| Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | NO | $1,167.77 | 0.36 | — | $-417.37 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | YES | $6,000.04 | 0.46 | 0.45 | $-89.98 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | NO | $732.01 | 0.72 | 0.81 | +$69.72 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | YES | $672.74 | 0.21 | 0.12 | $-61.66 |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | YES | $24 | 0.22 | 0.10 | $-3 |
| Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils? | YES | $251.26 | 0.00 | — | $-0.92 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31? | YES | $426.15 | 0.17 | — | $-71.79 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | YES | $3,221.67 | 0.57 | 0.71 | +$467.15 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | YES | $2,000 | 0.33 | 0.41 | +$152.36 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | NO | $5,000 | 0.85 | 0.84 | $-25 |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | YES | $325.04 | 0.27 | 0.24 | $-7.09 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | YES | $4,999.99 | 0.50 | 1.00 | +$2,497.51 |
| Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | NO | $1,617.63 | 0.16 | — | $-258.23 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | NO | $2,000 | 0.78 | 0.81 | +$47.5 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | YES | $3,499.98 | 0.18 | 0.04 | $-478.72 |