0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$2,361,187
Active Capital
$77,525
Active Markets
103
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce Brandon Williams as the next United States Labor Secretary | YES | $7,519.27 | 0.03 | — | $-214.83 |
| Will Donald Trump announce Bryan Slater as the next United States Labor Secretary | YES | $5,864.07 | 0.03 | — | $-167.54 |
| Will Donald Trump announce Jonathan Berry as the next United States Labor Secretary | YES | $6,399.67 | 0.03 | — | $-182.84 |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m? | YES | $2,625.55 | 0.07 | — | $-178.04 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? | YES | $11,294.1 | 0.28 | — | $-3,203.35 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%? | YES | $19.97 | 0.16 | — | $-3.12 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | YES | $1.4 | 0.12 | 0.06 | $-0.1 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | YES | $527,486.72 | 0.08 | — | $-44,477.15 |
| Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? | YES | $312.57 | 0.12 | — | $-37.7 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | YES | $639.22 | 0.29 | 0.24 | $-30.05 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May? | YES | $20 | 0.61 | — | $-12.2 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2? | YES | $283.18 | 0.09 | — | $-26.09 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | YES | $231.08 | 0.35 | 0.25 | $-22.3 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | YES | $1,913.79 | 0.27 | — | $-516.72 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | NO | $885.06 | 0.97 | 1.00 | +$23.01 |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? | YES | $72.67 | 0.43 | — | $-31.25 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | NO | $1.76 | 0.50 | 0.22 | $-0.49 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | YES | $18.5 | 0.12 | — | $-2.22 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | YES | $89.85 | 0.11 | — | $-9.88 |
| Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15? | YES | $132.76 | 0.08 | — | $-10.5 |