0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
Tracked since 3/27/2026
PnL
$1,770,811
Active Capital
$191,273
Active Markets
85
| Market | Side | Size | Avg Entry | Current | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | NO | $3.24 | 0.41 | 0.93 | +$1.67 |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m? | YES | $2,625.55 | 0.07 | 0.04 | $-82.2 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? | YES | $11,294.1 | 0.28 | 0.30 | +$184.88 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%? | YES | $19.97 | 0.16 | 0.00 | $-3.11 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? | YES | $1,963.06 | 0.52 | — | $-1,017.53 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | YES | $1.4 | 0.12 | 0.17 | +$0.06 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May? | YES | $20 | 0.61 | 0.01 | $-12.03 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during swearing-in? | YES | $40 | 0.89 | — | $-35.5 |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | NO | $124.75 | 0.96 | 0.97 | +$1.07 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | YES | $231.08 | 0.35 | 0.28 | $-15.39 |
| Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026? | NO | $263.92 | 0.35 | 0.01 | $-88.45 |
| Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026? | YES | $5.19 | 0.20 | 0.99 | +$4.07 |
| Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | YES | $12 | 0.18 | 0.19 | +$0.12 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | NO | $1.76 | 0.50 | 0.30 | $-0.35 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | YES | $18.5 | 0.12 | 0.05 | $-1.35 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | YES | $89.85 | 0.11 | 0.15 | +$3.59 |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? | NO | $503.83 | 0.85 | 1.00 | +$75.36 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | YES | $8,317.52 | 0.75 | 0.72 | $-207.94 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | YES | $2.27 | 0.28 | 0.00 | $-0.63 |
| Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | YES | $3,256.9 | 0.93 | 0.91 | $-82.25 |