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152 markets with smart money consensus (7+ wallets).
Market
Consensus
Wallets
Confidence
Trade
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO
56%
9
5
Trade
→
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
YES
56%
9
5
Trade
→
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
NO
56%
9
5
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→
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NO
88%
8
7
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→
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
NO
88%
8
7
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→
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
NO
88%
8
7
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→
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
YES
75%
8
6
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Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YES
75%
8
6
Trade
→
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
NO
75%
8
6
Trade
→
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES
75%
8
6
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→
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
NO
75%
8
6
Trade
→
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
NO
75%
8
6
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→
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
YES
75%
8
6
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→
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NO
63%
8
5
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→
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES
63%
8
5
Trade
→
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
YES
63%
8
5
Trade
→
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
YES
63%
8
5
Trade
→
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES
50%
8
4
Trade
→
US recession by end of 2026?
YES
50%
8
4
Trade
→
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
YES
50%
8
4
Trade
→
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES
50%
8
4
Trade
→
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES
50%
8
4
Trade
→
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
NO
100%
7
7
Trade
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Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
NO
100%
7
7
Trade
→
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES
86%
7
6
Trade
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