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153 markets with smart money consensus (7+ wallets).
Market
Consensus
Wallets
Confidence
Trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES
60%
10
6
Trade
→
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
YES
50%
10
5
Trade
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
YES
50%
10
5
Trade
→
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YES
50%
10
5
Trade
→
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES
89%
9
8
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Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NO
78%
9
7
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US strike on Mexico by December 31?
NO
67%
9
6
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Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
NO
67%
9
6
Trade
→
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
NO
67%
9
6
Trade
→
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES
67%
9
6
Trade
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Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
NO
67%
9
6
Trade
→
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES
67%
9
6
Trade
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Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
NO
67%
9
6
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Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YES
56%
9
5
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Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES
56%
9
5
Trade
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Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
NO
56%
9
5
Trade
→
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
YES
56%
9
5
Trade
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Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
YES
56%
9
5
Trade
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Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
YES
56%
9
5
Trade
→
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
YES
88%
8
7
Trade
→
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NO
88%
8
7
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Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
YES
75%
8
6
Trade
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Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
NO
75%
8
6
Trade
→
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES
75%
8
6
Trade
→
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
NO
75%
8
6
Trade
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